{"id":304,"date":"2012-10-20T21:33:54","date_gmt":"2012-10-20T20:33:54","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.ouman.eu\/?p=304"},"modified":"2013-02-20T17:12:38","modified_gmt":"2013-02-20T17:12:38","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e6%96%b0%e9%a2%86%e5%af%bc%e8%89%b0%e9%9a%be%e6%8a%89%e6%8b%a9%ef%bc%9a%e6%98%af%e8%b5%b0%e8%80%81%e8%b7%af%e8%bf%98%e6%98%af%e8%b5%8c%e4%b8%80%e6%8a%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ouman.eu\/?p=304","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b0\u9886\u5bfc\u8270\u96be\u6289\u62e9\uff1a\u662f\u8d70\u8001\u8def\u8fd8\u662f\u8d4c\u4e00\u628a"},"content":{"rendered":"
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http:\/\/www.creaders.net<\/a>\u00a0\u00a02012-10-19 20:32:44\u00a0\u00a0\u534e\u5c14\u8857\u65e5\u62a5<\/div>\n
\n

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\u4e0b\u8c03\u5229\u7387\u3001\u589e\u52a0\u6295\u8d44\u7b49\u4f20\u7edf\u523a\u6fc0\u624b\u6bb5\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u52a0\u5267\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5931\u8861\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u8fd9\u4e9b\u624b\u6bb5\u5728\u589e\u52a0\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5176\u4ee3\u4ef7\u662f\u6291\u5236\u5de5\u8d44\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8981\u6269\u5927\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u798f\u5229\uff0c\u5c31\u5f97\u6311\u6218\u67d0\u4e9b\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u96c6\u56e2\uff1a\u5229\u7528\u5f81\u5730\u83b7\u76ca\u7684\u5730\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\uff0c\u548c\u4ee5\u4f4e\u798f\u5229\u6295\u5165\u4e3a\u4ee3\u4ef7\u4eab\u53d7\u4f4e\u7a0e\u7387\u7684\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u3002\u8fd9\u6837\u4e00\u573a\u8d4c\u535a\u7684\u8d62\u5bb6\u5c06\u662f\u4e2d\u4f4e\u6536\u5165\u5bb6\u5ead\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u6e90\u6cc9\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u88ab\u5bc4\u6258\u4e86\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u5927\u7684\u671f\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u514b\u83b1\u8499\u7279\u2022\u9ea6\u80af\u7eb3\u5b66\u9662(Claremont McKenna College)\u4e2d\u56fd\u95ee\u9898\u4e13\u5bb6\u88f4\u654f\u6b23\u8bf4\uff0c\u6539\u9769\u56fd\u6709\u4f01\u4e1a\u3001\u52a0\u5f3a\u5176\u5546\u4e1a\u6027\u6700\u591a\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u727a\u7272\u6389400\u4e07\u4e2a\u5c31\u4e1a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f01\u4e1a\u8981\u7f29\u51cf\u89c4\u6a21\u3001\u5265\u9664\u653f\u6cbb\u4efb\u52a1\u5e76\u4e0d\u518d\u63a5\u53d7\u8865\u8d34\u3002\u88f4\u654f\u6b23\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u662f\u79c1\u6709\u5316\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u53bb\u515a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8fc7\u53bb10\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u5404\u4e2a\u9636\u5c42\u7684\u6536\u5165\u90fd\u6709\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u653f\u6cbb\u7cbe\u82f1\u83b7\u5f97\u4e86\u4e0d\u6210\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4f53\u5236\u8ba9\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u6743\u529b\u6838\u5fc3\u7684\u4eba\u66b4\u5bcc\u3002<\/p>\n

\u95ee\u9898\u5728\u4e8e\u5bf9\u7cbe\u82f1\u6709\u5229\u7684\u4e0d\u518d\u5bf9\u6574\u4e2a\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u5229\uff1a\u5f88\u4e45\u4ee5\u6765\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u5728\u8bf4\u4e2d\u56fd\u8981\u8f6c\u53d8\u589e\u957f\u6a21\u5f0f\u3001\u63d0\u9ad8\u5bf9\u56fd\u5185\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u4f9d\u8d56\uff0c\u7136\u800c\u8d2b\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u7684\u6269\u5927\u963b\u788d\u7740\u8fd9\u4e2a\u76ee\u6807\u7684\u5b9e\u73b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7(International Monetary Fund)\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5e03\u5170\u67e5\u5fb7(Olivier Blanchard)\u8bf4\uff0c\u8981\u641e\u5927\u5200\u9614\u65a7\u7684\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u5c31\u5f97\u7740\u624b\u8fdb\u884c\u6536\u5165\u7684\u518d\u5206\u914d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e0d\u516c\u5e73\u73b0\u8c61\u7684\u62c5\u5fe7\u6b63\u5728\u53d8\u5f97\u8d8a\u53d1\u666e\u904d\u3002\u76ae\u5c24\u7814\u7a76\u4e2d\u5fc3(Pew Research Center)2012\u5e74\u5bf93,177\u540d\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u663e\u793a\uff0c48%\u7684\u88ab\u8c03\u67e5\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8d2b\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u975e\u5e38\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c2008\u5e74\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u662f41%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u89e3\u51b3\u793e\u4f1a\u4e0d\u516c\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u9700\u8981\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u63aa\u65bd\u5305\u62ec\uff0c\u4fdd\u62a4\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u5730\u6743\uff0c\u4ee5\u4fbf\u8ba9\u571f\u5730\u6210\u4e3a\u53ef\u4f9b\u519c\u6c11\u51fa\u552e\u548c\u5f00\u53d1\u7684\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7;\u8ba9\u57ce\u5e02\u5916\u6765\u52a1\u5de5\u4eba\u5458\u62e5\u6709\u57ce\u5e02\u6237\u7c4d;\u6253\u51fb\u67d0\u4e9b\u7cbe\u82f1\u9636\u5c42\u501f\u4ee5\u81f4\u5bcc\u7684\u8150\u8d25\u884c\u4e3a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u5411\u5f3a\u5927\u7684\u65e2\u5f97\u5229\u76ca\u96c6\u56e2\u53d1\u8d77\u6311\u6218\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u524d\u8fd9\u4e00\u5c4a\u4e2d\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u957f\u671f\u4ee5\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u627f\u8bfa\u5f3a\u5316\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u5730\u6743\u3002\u800c\u5730\u65b9\u653f\u5e9c\u901a\u8fc7\u9500\u552e\u5f53\u5730\u4ece\u519c\u6c11\u624b\u4e2d\u5ec9\u4ef7\u8d2d\u4e70\u7684\u571f\u5730\u4e3a\u5f53\u5730\u4e3b\u8981\u5b98\u5458\u548c\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u516c\u53f8\u8c0b\u53d6\u4e86\u5de8\u989d\u5229\u76ca\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u519c\u6751\u53d1\u5c55\u7814\u7a76\u6240(Landesa Rural Development Institute)2011\u5e74\u5bf91,791\u540d\u519c\u6c11\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u5f53\u5730\u6709\u5173\u90e8\u95e8\u6bcf\u5f81\u6536\u4e00\u82f1\u4ea9\u571f\u5730\uff0c\u519c\u6c11\u5e73\u5747\u53ef\u4ee5\u83b7\u5f9717,850\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d54\u507f\uff0c\u800c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u91d1\u989d\u4ec5\u4ec5\u662f\u6bcf\u82f1\u4ea9\u571f\u5730\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c(740,000\u7f8e\u5143)\u76842.4%\u3002<\/p>\n

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\u7f29\u5c0f\u6536\u5165\u5dee\u8ddd\u5c06\u9700\u8981\u653f\u5e9c\u91c7\u53d6\u63aa\u65bd\u6253\u51fb\u8150\u8d25\u3002\u5728\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\u5185\uff0c\u5b98\u5458\u63a7\u5236\u7740\u6709\u4ef7\u503c\u8d44\u4ea7\u4e3a\u8150\u8d25\u884c\u4e3a\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u673a\u4f1a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u900f\u660e\u56fd\u9645(Transparency International)\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u8150\u8d25\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5728\u5168\u7403\u6392\u540d\u7b2c75\uff0c\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6539\u9769\u7814\u7a76\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a(China Reform Foundation)\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u738b\u5c0f\u9c812008\u5e74\u4ece\u4e8b\u7684\u4e00\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6700\u5bcc\u768410%\u7684\u57ce\u5e02\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u5e74\u5747\u53ef\u652f\u914d\u6536\u5165\u4e3a13.9\u4e07\u5143\uff0c\u6bd4\u5b98\u65b9\u6570\u636e\u9ad8\u51fa\u4e24\u500d\u3002\u738b\u5c0f\u9c81\u5199\u9053\uff0c\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u73b0\u5dee\u5f02\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u7531\u4e8e\u6ee5\u7528\u6743\u529b\u53d6\u5f97\u7684\u7070\u8272\u6536\u5165\uff0c\u7070\u8272\u6536\u5165\u4e0e\u8150\u8d25\u95ee\u9898\u5bc6\u5207\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e00\u4e9b\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u5bf9\u738b\u5c0f\u9c81\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u6279\u8bc4\uff0c\u8ba4\u4e3a\u8c03\u67e5\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u6837\u672c\u4e0d\u5177\u6709\u4ee3\u8868\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u767e\u5ea6(Baidu)\u8d34\u5427\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u5728\u7ebf\u8bba\u575b\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e86\u6536\u5165\u5dee\u8ddd\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u6700\u8fd1\u6709\u4e00\u6761\u8bc4\u8bba\u8bf4\uff0c\u4f60\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u5931\u671b\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u8d2b\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u6b63\u5728\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u5bcc\u4eba\u4e70\u8c6a\u8f66\u8c6a\u5b85\uff0c\u7a77\u4eba\u8fde\u79df\u623f\u90fd\u79df\u4e0d\u8d77\uff0c\u8fd9\u5c31\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u73b0\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u80e1\u9526\u6d9b\u548c\u603b\u7406\u6e29\u5bb6\u5b9d\u5c06\u572811\u6708\u53ec\u5f00\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5171\u4ea7\u515a\u7b2c18\u6b21\u4ee3\u8868\u5927\u4f1a\u4e0a\u5378\u4efb\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u66fe\u627f\u8bfa\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u4e2a\u66f4\u52a0\u548c\u8c10\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u63d0\u9ad8\u6295\u8d44\u56de\u62a5\u4ee5\u53ca\u538b\u4f4e\u5de5\u8d44\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4e5f\u4f7f\u6536\u5165\u5dee\u8ddd\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684GDP\u4e2d\u6d88\u8d39\u7684\u5360\u6bd4\u4ece2002\u5e74\u768444%\u964d\u5230\u4e862011\u5e74\u768434%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ea6\u80af\u9521\u5168\u7403\u7814\u7a76\u6240(McKinsey Global Institute)\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u572819\u4e16\u7eaa\u7684\u7f8e\u56fd\uff0c\u8fd8\u662f\u4e9a\u6d32\u56db\u5c0f\u9f99\u5728\u5404\u81ea\u5feb\u901f\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5e74\u4efd\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u5360\u6bd4\u4ece\u6765\u6ca1\u6709\u4e0b\u964d\u5230\u5982\u6b64\u4f4e\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6d88\u8d39\u5728\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u4e2d\u7684\u5360\u6bd4\u7ea6\u4e3a70%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6539\u9769\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\u5c06\u843d\u5728\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u7ee7\u4efb\u8005\u2500\u2500\u73b0\u4efb\u526f\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u548c\u526f\u603b\u7406\u674e\u514b\u5f3a\u2500\u2500\u8eab\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u6307\u671b\u4e2d\u56fd\u65b0\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4f1a\u5feb\u901f\u884c\u52a8\u3002\u4e00\u540d\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b98\u5458\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u5468\u5c0f\u5ddd\u79c1\u4e0b\u91cc\u5df2\u7ecf\u544a\u8bc9\u897f\u65b9\u5b98\u5458\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u81f3\u5c11\u8981\u52302013\u5e74\u79cb\u5929\u624d\u80fd\u62ff\u51fa\u4e00\u63fd\u5b50\u6539\u9769\u8ba1\u5212\u3002\u5317\u4eac\u7684\u79c1\u52df\u80a1\u6743\u6295\u8d44\u516c\u53f8\u6625\u534e\u8d44\u672c\u96c6\u56e2(Primavera Capital Group)\u8463\u4e8b\u957f\u80e1\u7956\u516d\u8bf4\uff0c\u4e3a\u4e86\u8ba9\u4ea4\u63a5\u73ed\u987a\u5229\u8fdb\u884c\uff0c\u674e\u514b\u5f3a\u548c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u4fdd\u6301\u4f4e\u8c03\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5982\u679c\u51fa\u73b0\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u8f83\u4f4e\u548c\u4e2d\u7b49\u6536\u5165\u5bb6\u5ead\u5c06\u4f1a\u662f\u53d7\u76ca\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4eba\u5728\u51b3\u7b56\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u8a00\u6743\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u4e0d\u6539\u9769\u9020\u6210\u7684\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u548c\u653f\u6cbb\u52a8\u8361\u7684\u4ee3\u4ef7\u5c06\u4f1a\u5f88\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u65af\u5766\u798f\u5927\u5b66(Stanford University)\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e13\u5bb6\u7f57\u601d\u9ad8(Scott Rozelle)\u8bf4\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728\u53d1\u5c55\u5230\u4e00\u5b9a\u6c34\u5e73\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u4e5f\u51fa\u73b0\u4e86\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u793e\u4f1a\u4e0d\u516c\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u975e\u5e38\u4f4e\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3a\u65e5\u672c\u5931\u53bb\u768410\u5e74\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u57fa\u7840;\u5982\u679c\u672a\u6765 20\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9075\u5faa\u8fc7\u53bb10\u5e74\u540c\u6837\u7684\u8f68\u8ff9\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6536\u5165\u4e0d\u516c\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u4e34\u7740\u96f6\u589e\u957f\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n

TOM ORLIK\/BOB DAVIS<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n
\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\"\"<\/a>\u00a0\"\"<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\"\"\u00a0\"\"<\/div>\n
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\u5f53\u524d\u65b0\u95fb\u5171\u67091\u6761\u8bc4\u8bba\uff0c\u67e5\u770b\/\u53d1\u8868\u8bc4\u8bba<\/a><\/div>\n
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pfred\u8bc4\u8bba\u65e5\u671f\uff1a2012-10-20 10:32:18<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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